Barco vs Caselas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
GON
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDV
4 - 2
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDA
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATO
2 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
LAL
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PON
1 - 0
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |