Barco vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SIL
0 - 2
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALO
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 2
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
POL
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARO
3 - 0
POR
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 1
ARO
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 1
RCF
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 2
BER
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
ARO
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |