Barcelona vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATM
1 - 2
FCB
18%
21%
61%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 2
BET
88%
8%
3%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 3
BYM
57%
21%
23%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ATH
2 - 2
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BYM
4 - 0
FCB
40%
23%
37%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
VAD
1 - 0
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RMA
4 - 3
VAD
93%
5%
2%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VAD
1 - 1
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 1
VAD
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VAD
2 - 1
GET
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |