Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
3%
10%
87%
|
96 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 1
FCB
12%
19%
69%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 2
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 0
MAL
90%
7%
3%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
12%
18%
70%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
RMA
6 - 1
CUL
95%
4%
1%
|
92 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RMA
2 - 1
SPO
89%
8%
3%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 2
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 3
RMA
46%
24%
30%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEG
92%
7%
2%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |