Barcelona vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
55%
21%
24%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FCB
4 - 0
VAD
83%
10%
6%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
OSA
2 - 2
FCB
29%
24%
46%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
83%
10%
6%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
RJA
4 - 2
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
DEP
3 - 1
RJA
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
RJA
0 - 0
UDL
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
ATM
1 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 0
VAD
39%
24%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |