Barcelona vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.3%
Win probability
4.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.2%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.6%
2.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
RSO
0 - 3
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
78%
12%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1953 |
FCB
8 - 1
ATM
81%
11%
8%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1953 |
FCB
3 - 0
RAC
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 1
SEV
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
GRA
4 - 2
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 2
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
HER
4 - 0
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 1
ORI
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |