Barcelona vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
BET
1 - 1
FCB
16%
24%
60%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
FCB
3 - 0
GIM
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALA
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 1
FCB
23%
25%
53%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 2
FCB
13%
23%
64%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GET
1 - 0
CEL
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 3
ATM
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
BET
1 - 0
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CEL
0 - 0
RSO
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
LEV
1 - 1
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |