Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 2-1
Barcelona vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCB
18%
27%
55%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
FCB
0 - 1
MAL
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
CCF
1 - 0
FCB
26%
29%
45%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
FCB
2 - 1
BUR
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
34%
30%
36%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCB
18%
27%
55%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
CAS
2 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
RAC
0 - 1
CAS
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
CAS
0 - 0
ELC
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1972 |
OVI
0 - 0
CAS
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |