Barcelona EC vs ECUS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
JAB
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 5
GUA
17%
19%
63%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
BAR
43%
22%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 2
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
FLA
12%
18%
71%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ECU
3 - 1
MAU
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
4 - 2
MAU
14%
19%
68%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
OSA
2 - 1
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 2
MFC
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | -1 |