Barbate vs At. Cortegana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
UBR
0 - 6
BAR
47%
26%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 4
UDT
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
5 - 2
LPF
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
At. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ATC
2 - 5
ALG
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 0
ATC
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ATC
3 - 1
REC
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
UBR
1 - 0
ATC
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ATC
2 - 3
UDT
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |