Cearense 1 Primera Fase. 1/16

Barbalha vs Horizonte analysis

Barbalha Horizonte
43 ELO 41
-2.1% Tilt -12.1%
6944º General ELO ranking 5990º
281º Country ELO ranking 242º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Barbalha
23.2%
Draw
38.7%
Horizonte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
Barbalha
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.8%
Win probability
Horizonte
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barbalha
+12%
+42%
Horizonte

ELO progression

Barbalha
Horizonte
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barbalha
Barbalha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2020
PAC
Pacajus
0 - 1
Barbalha
BAR
32%
24%
44%
41 36 5 0
05 Jan. 2020
BAR
Barbalha
5 - 0
Floresta EC
FLO
29%
23%
49%
38 44 6 +3
21 Mar. 2019
BAR
Barbalha
1 - 1
Horizonte
HOR
27%
22%
50%
38 44 6 0
07 Mar. 2019
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
4 - 1
Barbalha
BAR
39%
25%
36%
39 38 1 -1
01 Mar. 2019
FLO
Floresta EC
1 - 0
Barbalha
BAR
47%
24%
29%
41 42 1 -2

Matches

Horizonte
Horizonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2020
UNI
Atlético Cearense
1 - 0
Horizonte
HOR
50%
23%
27%
43 45 2 0
05 Jan. 2020
HOR
Horizonte
0 - 1
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
51%
24%
25%
44 41 3 -1
21 Mar. 2019
BAR
Barbalha
1 - 1
Horizonte
HOR
27%
22%
50%
44 38 6 0
10 Mar. 2019
FER
Ferroviário
1 - 1
Horizonte
HOR
54%
22%
24%
44 46 2 0
28 Feb. 2019
HOR
Horizonte
1 - 0
Fortaleza EC
FOR
10%
19%
71%
43 67 24 +1
X