Barbalha vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
86%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
10%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
UNI
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
BAR
27%
22%
52%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
84%
13%
4%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
ALT
84%
13%
3%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
CEA
6%
17%
77%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | -1 |