Barbados vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
BRB
2 - 2
JAM
35%
25%
41%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
BRB
0 - 4
SWE
16%
23%
62%
|
37 | 86 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
PRI
3 - 0
BRB
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1970 |
BRB
1 - 8
ANT
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
TTO
0 - 1
SUR
68%
18%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
GUY
1 - 1
SUR
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
GUY
1 - 1
SUR
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
SUR
4 - 1
IND
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1984 |
SUR
6 - 2
IND
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |