WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Barbados vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ABW
0 - 2
BRB
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 3
KNA
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 4
BRB
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
0 - 1
VIR
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
2 - 2
VCT
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ABW
0 - 2
BRB
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
0 - 2
GUF
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
7 - 0
VGB
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ABW
1 - 0
TCA
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |