Potiguar Second stage Round 3

Baraunas vs ABC analysis

Baraunas ABC
47 ELO 63
-15.2% Tilt -13.2%
8291º General ELO ranking 1582º
345º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
18.2%
Baraunas
23.7%
Draw
58.1%
ABC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
Baraunas
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.1%
Win probability
ABC
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baraunas
-13%
-8%
ABC

ELO progression

Baraunas
ABC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baraunas
Baraunas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2014
POT
Potiguar Mossoró
0 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
39%
27%
34%
47 44 3 0
20 Feb. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
1 - 1
Baraunas
BAR
36%
27%
37%
47 41 6 0
13 Feb. 2014
BAR
Baraunas
3 - 1
América RN
ARN
11%
21%
68%
45 66 21 +2
09 Feb. 2014
GLO
Globo
4 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
56%
23%
21%
46 50 4 -1
06 Feb. 2014
BAR
Baraunas
1 - 1
Globo
GLO
34%
26%
40%
46 50 4 0

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2014
ARN
América RN
3 - 2
ABC
ABC
48%
25%
27%
63 63 0 0
20 Feb. 2014
ABC
ABC
2 - 1
Alecrim
ALE
76%
16%
8%
63 45 18 0
13 Feb. 2014
ABC
ABC
0 - 1
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
77%
15%
8%
64 44 20 -1
09 Feb. 2014
COR
Coríntians RN
1 - 1
ABC
ABC
18%
23%
60%
64 43 21 0
30 Jan. 2014
ABC
ABC
3 - 0
Palmeira Goianinha
PAL
82%
13%
6%
64 42 22 0