Potiguar Round 3

Baraunas vs ABC analysis

Baraunas ABC
45 ELO 63
1% Tilt -1.1%
8450º General ELO ranking 1853º
348º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
24.6%
Baraunas
23%
Draw
52.4%
ABC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
Baraunas
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.4%
Win probability
ABC
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baraunas
+18%
-23%
ABC

ELO progression

Baraunas
ABC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baraunas
Baraunas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2007
ASS
ASSU
2 - 2
Baraunas
BAR
59%
21%
20%
44 49 5 0
21 Jan. 2007
BAR
Baraunas
1 - 2
Coríntians RN
COR
58%
21%
21%
45 40 5 -1
06 Aug. 2006
BAR
Baraunas
2 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
23%
24%
53%
44 58 14 +1
02 Aug. 2006
POR
CA Porto
1 - 1
Baraunas
BAR
46%
24%
30%
44 42 2 0
30 Jul. 2006
ICA
Icasa
3 - 1
Baraunas
BAR
64%
21%
16%
46 53 7 -2

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2007
ABC
ABC
2 - 1
Alecrim
ALE
69%
18%
13%
63 51 12 0
21 Jan. 2007
ABC
ABC
1 - 0
Sao Gonçalo RN
SGO
72%
17%
11%
63 44 19 0
05 Apr. 2006
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 0
ABC
ABC
69%
19%
12%
63 78 15 0
22 Mar. 2006
ABC
ABC
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
27%
25%
48%
64 78 14 -1
19 Mar. 2006
ASS
ASSU
1 - 1
ABC
ABC
23%
23%
54%
64 51 13 0