Barakaldo vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
SGL
85%
9%
6%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 3
ARO
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 0
BAR
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
RAC
69%
16%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 1
GIR
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
3 - 1
SDE
63%
18%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SDE
2 - 2
RCF
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
SDE
91%
6%
3%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |