Barakaldo vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
3º
1º
51
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
URD
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 3
BAR
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SES
1 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
ARE
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
DEU
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 7
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
AUR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 0
BAS
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
BTG
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |