Barakaldo vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOL
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
RUN
1 - 0
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BAR
4 - 1
HER
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
BAR
4 - 0
ORT
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
AFT
0 - 2
BAR
27%
27%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
SDA
4 - 0
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
TOL
1 - 1
SDA
37%
29%
34%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SDA
1 - 3
RUN
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
SDA
6 - 1
AFT
77%
15%
7%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ELG
2 - 3
SDA
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |