Barakaldo vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ARE
0 - 3
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAS
3 - 0
BAR
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
RCF
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BET
4 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CDT
0 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAL
93%
6%
2%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VAD
2 - 1
ALM
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 1
RMC
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ALM
4 - 0
MLL
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |