Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 1-1
Barakaldo vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
AVI
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
30%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
ADP
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ADP
0 - 2
BAR
31%
28%
40%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARE
1 - 2
BAR
25%
29%
47%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 2
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
AGU
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AGU
7 - 3
ABA
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |