Bangu vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
BAN
3 - 0
OPE
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
MIX
2 - 1
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
OPE
2 - 3
BAN
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
BAN
0 - 0
BAH
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BAN
3 - 0
CRZ
25%
23%
53%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
MIX
4 - 2
CRZ
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
MIX
2 - 1
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
MIX
1 - 2
OPE
29%
28%
42%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BAH
3 - 2
MIX
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
MIX
1 - 2
BAN
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |