Bangor vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIM
42%
24%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
3 - 4
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
LAR
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 4
BMF
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
LIM
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |