Bangor City vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAN
17%
21%
63%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 3
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 4
BAN
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 1
LID
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
ABE
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 4
NEA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
9 - 2
NEW
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
PRE
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |