Bangor City vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAN
4 - 0
LLA
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
AIR
4 - 2
BAN
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
BAN
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
LLA
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HAV
1 - 5
CON
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CON
5 - 1
AIR
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 3
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |