Bangor City vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
BAN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FLI
0 - 1
BAN
30%
23%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
BAN
4 - 0
PRE
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WEL
1 - 2
BAN
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
4 - 0
CON
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CON
0 - 3
POR
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
RHY
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
AIR
4 - 0
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
AIR
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |