Paulista A3 Primera Fase. Jor. 4

Bandeirante SP vs Nacional SP analysis

Bandeirante SP Nacional SP
38 ELO 44
-15.4% Tilt -12%
5203º General ELO ranking 26738º
199º Country ELO ranking 661º
ELO win probability
23.6%
Bandeirante SP
24.8%
Draw
51.6%
Nacional SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
Bandeirante SP
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.6%
Win probability
Nacional SP
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bandeirante SP
-15%
+1%
Nacional SP

ELO progression

Bandeirante SP
Nacional SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bandeirante SP
Bandeirante SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2022
BAN
Bandeirante SP
0 - 2
EC São Bernardo
BER
23%
25%
52%
38 48 10 0
02 Feb. 2022
NOR
Noroeste
2 - 1
Bandeirante SP
BAN
66%
21%
14%
38 52 14 0
30 Jan. 2022
BAN
Bandeirante SP
0 - 0
Votuporanguense
VOT
18%
25%
57%
38 53 15 0
25 May. 2021
NAC
Nacional SP
4 - 1
Bandeirante SP
BAN
62%
21%
17%
39 46 7 -1
22 May. 2021
BAN
Bandeirante SP
0 - 0
Comercial
COM
21%
25%
55%
38 52 14 +1

Matches

Nacional SP
Nacional SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2022
NAC
Nacional SP
0 - 1
Marília
MAR
44%
25%
31%
46 48 2 0
02 Feb. 2022
NAC
Nacional SP
0 - 3
Comercial
COM
40%
26%
33%
47 51 4 -1
29 Jan. 2022
RIO
Rio Preto
1 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
30%
25%
46%
48 41 7 -1
06 Jun. 2021
NAC
Nacional SP
0 - 1
Linense CA
LIN
52%
23%
25%
49 47 2 -1
03 Jun. 2021
LIN
Linense CA
0 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
37%
25%
38%
49 47 2 0
X