Non League Premier Norte Jor. 40

Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City analysis

Bamber Bridge Lancaster City
44 ELO 38
8.8% Tilt 6.5%
6060º General ELO ranking 5383º
274º Country ELO ranking 227º
ELO win probability
60.2%
Bamber Bridge
21.2%
Draw
18.5%
Lancaster City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
Bamber Bridge
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
Lancaster City
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bamber Bridge
-40%
-7%
Lancaster City

Points and table prediction

Bamber Bridge
Their league position
Lancaster City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
20º
56
10º
19º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
South Shields
85
85
100%
Warrington Town
75
75
100%
Bamber Bridge
74
74
100%
Gainsborough Trinity
70
70
100%
Hyde
67
67
100%
Radcliffe Borough
67
67
100%
Matlock Town
66
66
100%
United of Manchester
61
64
100%
Marine
62
62
100%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
10º
60
62
10º
100%
Stafford Rangers
11º
57
57
11º
100%
Guiseley
12º
56
56
12º
100%
Lancaster City
13º
56
56
13º
100%
Ashton United
15º
51
54
14º
100%
Whitby Town
14º
52
52
15º
100%
Atherton Collieries
17º
49
49
16º
100%
Morpeth Town
16º
49
48
17º
100%
Marske United
18º
48
48
18º
100%
Nantwich Town
19º
44
44
19º
100%
Stalybridge Celtic
20º
41
41
20º
100%
Liversedge
21º
41
41
21º
100%
Belper Town FC
22º
30
30
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bamber Bridge
Lancaster City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bamber Bridge
Lancaster City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
UNM
United of Manchester
5 - 2
Bamber Bridge
BAM
34%
24%
42%
45 39 6 0
04 Apr. 2023
BAM
Bamber Bridge
1 - 0
Morpeth Town
MOR
76%
15%
9%
45 32 13 0
01 Apr. 2023
BAM
Bamber Bridge
2 - 1
South Shields
SOU
38%
25%
37%
43 48 5 +2
25 Mar. 2023
NAN
Nantwich Town
0 - 1
Bamber Bridge
BAM
20%
23%
57%
42 33 9 +1
18 Mar. 2023
BAM
Bamber Bridge
2 - 1
Whitby Town
WHI
57%
22%
21%
41 38 3 +1

Matches

Lancaster City
Lancaster City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
LAN
Lancaster City
1 - 2
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
26%
27%
47%
40 44 4 0
04 Apr. 2023
LIV
Liversedge
1 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
24%
21%
55%
40 30 10 0
01 Apr. 2023
RYL
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
2 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
34%
25%
41%
41 36 5 -1
25 Mar. 2023
LAN
Lancaster City
2 - 1
Hyde
HYD
29%
28%
43%
39 43 4 +2
18 Mar. 2023
BEL
Belper Town FC
1 - 2
Lancaster City
LAN
15%
20%
65%
38 22 16 +1
X