Poland Third Division Round 3

Bałtyk Gdynia vs Zielona Góra analysis

Bałtyk Gdynia Zielona Góra
47 ELO 33
4.7% Tilt -8.3%
8414º General ELO ranking 4124º
160º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
71.4%
Bałtyk Gdynia
17.4%
Draw
11.2%
Zielona Góra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
Bałtyk Gdynia
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
Zielona Góra
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bałtyk Gdynia
-7%
+10%
Zielona Góra

ELO progression

Bałtyk Gdynia
Zielona Góra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bałtyk Gdynia
Bałtyk Gdynia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2009
RUC
Ruch Radzionków
1 - 0
Bałtyk Gdynia
BAL
66%
20%
13%
47 54 7 0
25 Jul. 2009
BAL
Bałtyk Gdynia
2 - 0
Miedz Legnica
MIE
59%
22%
19%
46 43 3 +1
02 Jun. 2009
STA
Błękitni Stargard
1 - 0
Bałtyk Gdynia
BAL
33%
26%
41%
48 39 9 -2
30 May. 2009
BAL
Bałtyk Gdynia
3 - 1
Astra Ustronie Morskie
AUM
82%
12%
6%
48 19 29 0
24 May. 2009
ORP
Orkan Rumia
1 - 0
Bałtyk Gdynia
BAL
17%
24%
59%
49 26 23 -1

Matches

Zielona Góra
Zielona Góra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2009
ZIE
Zielona Góra
0 - 2
Polonia Słubice
MPS
51%
24%
25%
35 35 0 0
25 Jul. 2009
ZIE
Zielona Góra
0 - 3
Ruch Radzionków
RUC
19%
24%
58%
36 54 18 -1
05 Jun. 2009
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
3 - 1
Zielona Góra
ZIE
57%
23%
21%
37 44 7 -1
31 May. 2009
ZIE
Zielona Góra
0 - 2
Pogon Szczecin
POG
17%
23%
60%
38 61 23 -1
23 May. 2009
GKS
GKS Tychy
3 - 2
Zielona Góra
ZIE
70%
19%
11%
38 53 15 0