Baltimore vs FICA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
31.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 0
BAL
35%
34%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
AME
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
AIG
2 - 1
BAL
42%
31%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 0
TEM
40%
32%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
RAC
39%
31%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FICA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
VAL
5 - 1
FIC
42%
31%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
FIC
1 - 0
RAC
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
FIC
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
FIC
36%
30%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
FIC
3 - 0
ASM
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |