BFA vs Marijampolė City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BAB
1 - 3
BFA
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BFA
0 - 1
TRA
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 4
FKS
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FKB
1 - 0
BFA
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BFA
2 - 2
NEP
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Marijampolė City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
MCF
1 - 4
SUD
9%
15%
76%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
MCF
4 - 3
DAI
21%
18%
61%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
MCF
3 - 0
SJO
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 6 | 46 | 0 |