Balma vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
LUZ
0 - 1
BAL
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BAL
0 - 3
LEM
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
AND
4 - 0
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
BLO
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BAL
2 - 3
ORL
15%
21%
63%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
TOU
0 - 0
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ROD
2 - 0
TOU
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
TOU
1 - 1
GDB
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
TOU
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
TOU
1 - 0
POI
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +2 |