Balma vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
TOU
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
BAL
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
SAI
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BER
0 - 0
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
4 - 1
LES
37%
25%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 0
SAM
53%
23%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAR
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 3
NAR
57%
22%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 0
MUR
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |