Balma vs Le Mans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 2
FON
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAL
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
ALB
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
YZE
3 - 3
BAL
53%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAL
3 - 0
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LEM
2 - 1
PAU
25%
27%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MOU
4 - 0
LEM
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LEM
0 - 0
LUC
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BER
1 - 3
LEM
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LEM
2 - 1
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |