NIFL Premiership Normal Season Round 25

Ballymena United vs Glenavon analysis

Ballymena United Glenavon
58 ELO 62
22.3% Tilt 9.8%
2185º General ELO ranking 1899º
16º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
41.5%
Ballymena United
23.7%
Draw
34.8%
Glenavon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
Ballymena United
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.8%
Win probability
Glenavon
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballymena United
+4%
-21%
Glenavon

ELO progression

Ballymena United
Glenavon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2015
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
2 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
26%
24%
49%
60 49 11 0
26 Dec. 2014
BAL
Ballymena United
4 - 3
Coleraine
COL
49%
25%
27%
59 61 2 +1
20 Dec. 2014
INS
Institute
1 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
35%
26%
40%
58 54 4 +1
16 Dec. 2014
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 3
Ballymena United
BAL
36%
25%
40%
58 54 4 0
13 Dec. 2014
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
24%
23%
53%
58 72 14 0

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2014
POR
Portadown
3 - 3
Glenavon
GLE
57%
22%
21%
61 68 7 0
20 Dec. 2014
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
23%
24%
54%
62 53 9 -1
13 Dec. 2014
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 3
Coleraine
COL
63%
20%
17%
63 61 2 -1
05 Dec. 2014
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 1
Institute
INS
74%
16%
11%
63 54 9 0
28 Nov. 2014
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
2 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
20%
23%
57%
64 52 12 -1