Ballymena United vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
75%
15%
9%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
BAL
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 0
QUB
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 5
LIN
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
5 - 0
GLE
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
GLE
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |