Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
BAL
15%
18%
68%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 3
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARD
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CLI
0 - 1
DUN
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 4
DUN
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
ARD
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |