NIFL Premiership . Jor. 28

Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers analysis

Ballymena United Carrick Rangers
58 ELO 57
19.2% Tilt 6.2%
2919º General ELO ranking 2631º
17º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
60.2%
Ballymena United
21.4%
Draw
18.4%
Carrick Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
Ballymena United
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
Carrick Rangers
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballymena United
-15%
+14%
Carrick Rangers

ELO progression

Ballymena United
Carrick Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2020
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
1 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
23%
21%
57%
59 47 12 0
25 Jan. 2020
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
79%
15%
7%
60 77 17 -1
18 Jan. 2020
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 3
Glenavon
GLE
45%
23%
32%
61 61 0 -1
04 Jan. 2020
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 0
Crumlin Star
CSF
83%
11%
6%
61 41 20 0
01 Jan. 2020
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 3
Larne
LAR
43%
25%
32%
61 65 4 0

Matches

Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2020
CLI
Cliftonville
3 - 1
Carrick Rangers
CAR
67%
20%
13%
56 67 11 0
01 Feb. 2020
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 5
Crusaders
CRU
9%
15%
76%
57 77 20 -1
25 Jan. 2020
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 2
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
65%
20%
15%
58 46 12 -1
18 Jan. 2020
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 0
Cliftonville
CLI
23%
25%
52%
57 68 11 +1
10 Jan. 2020
LAR
Larne
4 - 0
Carrick Rangers
CAR
66%
20%
15%
58 66 8 -1
X