Northern Ireland Second Division Normal Season Round 23

Ballyclare Comrades vs Dergview FC analysis

Ballyclare Comrades Dergview FC
50 ELO 48
4.9% Tilt 13%
3772º General ELO ranking 6435º
24º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Ballyclare Comrades
20.9%
Draw
19%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
Ballyclare Comrades
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballyclare Comrades
-26%
-45%
Dergview FC

Points and table prediction

Ballyclare Comrades
Their league position
Dergview FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
33
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Loughgall
69
69
100%
Warrenpoint Town
63
63
100%
Annagh United
55
55
100%
Dundela
54
54
100%
Ballyclare Comrades
47
47
100%
Ards FC
47
47
100%
Harland & Wolff Welders
46
46
0%
Ballinamallard United
46
46
0%
Institute
34
34
100%
Dergview FC
11º
33
33
10º
0%
Newington Youth
10º
33
33
11º
0%
Knockbreda
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ballyclare Comrades
Dergview FC
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Ballyclare Comrades
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballyclare Comrades
Ballyclare Comrades
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
1 - 0
Dollingstown
DOL
44%
23%
33%
51 50 1 0
02 Jan. 2023
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
0 - 1
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
56%
22%
23%
50 53 3 +1
26 Dec. 2022
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
1 - 1
Newington Youth
NEY
47%
24%
29%
50 51 1 0
03 Dec. 2022
KNO
Knockbreda
1 - 1
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
21%
21%
59%
50 39 11 0
26 Nov. 2022
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
1 - 0
Institute
INS
46%
24%
31%
50 50 0 0

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
CRU
Crusaders
6 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
86%
10%
4%
47 71 24 0
30 Dec. 2022
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Institute
INS
33%
25%
42%
46 49 3 +1
26 Dec. 2022
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
65%
20%
15%
45 52 7 +1
20 Dec. 2022
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
3 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
41%
24%
36%
46 44 2 -1
03 Dec. 2022
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 3
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
54%
23%
23%
47 43 4 -1