Northern Ireland Second Division Promotion Round Round 4

Ballinamallard United vs Portadown analysis

Ballinamallard United Portadown
54 ELO 55
9.3% Tilt 0.7%
3443º General ELO ranking 1567º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42%
Ballinamallard United
25%
Draw
33%
Portadown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Ballinamallard United
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33%
Win probability
Portadown
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballinamallard United
+1%
-11%
Portadown

ELO progression

Ballinamallard United
Portadown
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2019
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 2
Carrick Rangers
CAR
46%
25%
29%
54 56 2 0
11 Feb. 2019
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 0
Carrick Rangers
CAR
38%
24%
38%
53 56 3 +1
09 Feb. 2019
DUN
Dundela
4 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
52%
23%
25%
54 53 1 -1
26 Jan. 2019
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
2 - 1
Ballinamallard United
BAL
43%
26%
32%
55 54 1 -1
19 Jan. 2019
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 0
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
53%
22%
25%
54 52 2 +1

Matches

Portadown
Portadown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2019
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
0 - 6
Portadown
POR
42%
26%
33%
54 53 1 0
11 Feb. 2019
BAL
Ballymena United
4 - 1
Portadown
POR
81%
12%
7%
55 72 17 -1
09 Feb. 2019
POR
Portadown
1 - 2
Larne
LAR
28%
25%
48%
56 65 9 -1
26 Jan. 2019
POR
Portadown
3 - 2
Dundela
DUN
48%
23%
29%
55 53 2 +1
19 Jan. 2019
POR
Portadown
3 - 2
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
49%
24%
27%
54 54 0 +1