Tennent's Irish Cup . 1/16

Ballinamallard United vs Dergview FC analysis

Ballinamallard United Dergview FC
57 ELO 47
15.6% Tilt 3.7%
3322º General ELO ranking 5499º
20º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
73.3%
Ballinamallard United
16.2%
Draw
10.5%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
Ballinamallard United
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.5%
Win probability
Dergview FC
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballinamallard United
-10%
-25%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Ballinamallard United
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2020
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
72%
17%
11%
58 74 16 0
29 Aug. 2020
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 2
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
71%
17%
12%
58 47 11 0
07 Mar. 2020
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 0
Dundela
DUN
64%
19%
17%
57 49 8 +1
04 Mar. 2020
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
1 - 2
Ballinamallard United
BAL
30%
26%
45%
57 48 9 0
29 Feb. 2020
BAL
Ballinamallard United
0 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
47%
22%
31%
58 58 0 -1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2020
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 2
Newry City
NEW
37%
26%
37%
47 53 6 0
07 Mar. 2020
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 0
Queens University Belfast
QUB
40%
24%
36%
46 48 2 +1
03 Mar. 2020
DER
Dergview FC
3 - 2
Queens University Belfast
QUB
34%
24%
42%
45 49 4 +1
29 Feb. 2020
LOU
Loughgall
2 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
68%
19%
14%
45 55 10 0
25 Feb. 2020
ARD
Ards FC
3 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
64%
20%
16%
46 53 7 -1
X