Ballinamallard United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 5
LAR
22%
24%
53%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 0
WAR
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 3
CRU
31%
23%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
COL
4 - 2
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CLI
2 - 0
CRU
22%
22%
56%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
39%
24%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
28%
23%
50%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |