Balk vs Trynwalden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
BUI
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NOO
5 - 2
BAL
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
PKC
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 2
BAL
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VEV
2 - 0
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trynwalden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
TRY
2 - 4
DRA
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CVV
2 - 0
TRY
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TRY
1 - 1
OEV
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ORA
1 - 1
TRY
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TRY
0 - 4
OLD
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |