Balk vs PKC .83 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 2
BAL
67%
18%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VEV
2 - 0
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CVV
10 - 1
BAL
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
OLD
6 - 0
BAL
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 1
OEV
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LTC
3 - 4
PKC
39%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
PKC
1 - 2
DRA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NOO
0 - 2
PKC
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
PKC
1 - 1
ORA
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VEV
3 - 2
PKC
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |