Balk vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VVG
3 - 1
BAL
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 2
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 2
WHC
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 2
PEL
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LEE
2 - 5
PEL
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ZMV
5 - 0
LEE
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LEE
3 - 2
WIN
28%
22%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ORA
7 - 1
LEE
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEE
2 - 3
SVI
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |