Balk vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OML
2 - 1
BAL
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEE
0 - 2
BAL
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
VEE
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OLD
1 - 3
BAL
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 2
PKC
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BUI
1 - 2
ASV
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PKC
2 - 2
BUI
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BUI
0 - 0
OLD
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BCV
1 - 1
BUI
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SVB
2 - 2
BUI
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |