Balk vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
VEV
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
OML
1 - 4
BAL
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
DZO
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
PKC
0 - 0
BAL
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BCV
1 - 0
BAL
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BUI
2 - 0
OML
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PKC
3 - 1
BUI
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 3
BUI
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BUI
0 - 3
CVV
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LTC
0 - 2
BUI
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |