Balk vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NOO
5 - 2
BAL
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
PKC
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 2
BAL
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VEV
2 - 0
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CVV
10 - 1
BAL
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PKC
2 - 2
BUI
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BUI
2 - 0
LTC
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 0
BUI
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ORA
1 - 4
BUI
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BUI
2 - 2
OLD
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |