Balham vs Croydon Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAL
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KNA
1 - 2
BAL
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
EPS
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
SPE
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TAD
1 - 1
BAL
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Croydon Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
5 - 0
GUI
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
6 - 1
TAD
45%
21%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
4 - 0
CRO
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
5 - 0
FLE
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 3
COB
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |