Baldock Town vs Ardley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baldock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MKI
1 - 1
BAL
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RIS
2 - 1
BAL
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
DUN
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAT
6 - 1
BAL
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
FLA
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ardley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 0
BRU
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 2
ARD
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 2
ARD
10%
17%
73%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 2
HAD
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
OXH
0 - 4
ARD
26%
22%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |